{"id":8427,"date":"2019-04-03T09:34:10","date_gmt":"2019-04-03T08:34:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/?p=8427"},"modified":"2019-04-06T12:55:18","modified_gmt":"2019-04-06T11:55:18","slug":"apple-news-and-the-publishing-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/2019\/04\/apple-news-and-the-publishing-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"Apple News+ and the Publishing Industry"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In March last year, Apple <a href=\"https:\/\/www.apple.com\/uk\/newsroom\/2018\/03\/apple-to-acquire-digital-magazine-service-texture\">bought<\/a> the digital magazine service, Texture. Texture\u2019s business model was relatively straightforward \u2013 users paid a flat monthly fee of $9.99 for access to around 200 magazines. Texture placed a layer of editorial on top of things, highlighting specific articles that you might not have otherwise discovered. Initially, the business had been a joint venture from some of the biggest US publishers including Cond\u00e9 Nast and Hearst, and that brought with it access to a wide range of titles, including many quality ones like <em>The New Yorker, Vanity Fair, Fortune <\/em>and <em>Esquire<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Apple sat on its purchase for a year, developing it in the\nbackground. Notably, we stopped hearing so many podcast ads for the service. Then\nlast week, as part of a wider \u201cservices\u201d launch event, Apple News+ was\nunveiled. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This essentially rebrands Texture as a subscription layer to\nthe existing Apple News product that comes pre-installed on every iOS device. Apple\nis trying to develop slightly less reliance on device sales, and the new app\nforms part of that strategy, forming one aspect of the services that Apple\noffers that should bring continuing revenue streams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For the launch of Apple News+, Apple wanted to offer more\nthan Texture had available before it. So there are additional titles included\nin the mix, not least some newspaper titles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">50<strong>%<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the big discussion points in the media world has been\nthe revenue split that Apple is offering. Terms haven\u2019t been made public, but\nit\u2019s widely understood that Apple is taking 50% of all subscription revenues,\nand is then sharing the remaining 50% of revenue with publishers based on\nengagement. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But 50% is an incredibly high share. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The standard share that Apple takes in its app store is 30%,\nfalling to a lower rate over time for ongoing subscriptions. Even at that rate,\ncompanies like Netflix and Spotify have vociferously complained that it\u2019s too\nhigh, and neither allow their members to subscribe via their Apple apps. Instead,\nnew subscribers must visit their respective websites \u2013 well outside Apple\u2019s payment\nsystems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, for music subscription services like Apple Music,\nthe revenue split is perhaps closer to 20% for Apple, with 80% going to the\nrights holders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With newspapers and magazines laying off journalists or\nclosing down altogether, many in the sector believe that it\u2019s outrageous that\nApple should keep such a massive share of subscription revenues. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s therefore not surprising that two key titles in the US have chosen <em>not<\/em> to go into the app. It\u2019s understood that Apple badly wanted either <em>The New York Times<\/em> or <em>The Washington Post<\/em> to come into their app. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanityfair.com\/news\/2019\/04\/journalists-wonder-if-apple-news-is-a-trojan-horse\">As <\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanityfair.com\/news\/2019\/04\/journalists-wonder-if-apple-news-is-a-trojan-horse\">Vanity Fair <\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vanityfair.com\/news\/2019\/04\/journalists-wonder-if-apple-news-is-a-trojan-horse\">reports<\/a>, neither chose to do so despite Apple putting enormous efforts into persuading them. Both have built very impressive digital followings, and don\u2019t see the need to lose that direct connection with readers or to risk those revenues which they are in control of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Instead, the key title Apple has got is perhaps <em>The Wall\nSt Journal<\/em>. On the surface, a $10 a month Apple News+ subscription is significantly\ncheaper than even the best offer that you can get direct from <em>The Wall St\nJournal<\/em> itself. But the quid pro quo seems to be that while general news is\nsurfaced in a straightforward manner, the more valuable business news is \u201cburied\u201d\nwithin the app and requires searching to find it. It\u2019s also worth noting that,\nlike <em>The Financial Times<\/em> (which is not part of Apple News+), <em>The Wall\nSt Journal\u2019s<\/em> subscription base is heavily skewed towards corporate accounts\nand those for whom it\u2019s necessary to read the paper. For the <em>Journal<\/em>\nthere is less at risk. The other key general news title is <em>The Los Angeles\nTimes<\/em>. They probably also felt there was less of a risk, since they haven\u2019t\ngot as strong subscriber bases as either <em>The Times<\/em> or <em>The Post<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Don\u2019t Cancel Your Subscription<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>A key challenge for publishers with existing digital or\nprint subscription bases is the concern that those subscribers will switch to\nApple\u2019s product. The publishers end up with less money, and lose a direct\nrelationship with the readers. That\u2019s a double loss to those businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Frederic Filloux spelt it out in <a href=\"https:\/\/mondaynote.com\/apple-news-could-lead-to-a-massive-value-destruction-for-the-magazine-industry-752d297bffe\">this week\u2019s Monday Note<\/a>, headlined: <em>Apple News+ could lead to a massive value destruction for the magazine industry.<\/em> His topline calculations suggest that the US magazine industry will lose 50% of its revenue per reader under this model.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He models out what a hypothetical reader to a range of\nhighbrow titles like <em>The New Yorker <\/em>and <em>The Atlantic<\/em> might pay,\nsuggesting the value destruction could be as high as 88% for <em>The New Yorker<\/em>.\nNow you could certainly argue that the rate card subscription fees he bases his\ncalculations on are unrealistic \u2013 a savvy magazine subscriber has always tried\nto keep on top of special offers. But the overarching thesis seems sound.\nIndeed, it\u2019s hard to truly understand the thinking in some of these big ticket\ntitles being part of Apple\u2019s offering. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One side effect of all of this has been the unedifying sight\nof digital editors of some titles, very publicly explaining why their existing subscribers\nshouldn\u2019t shift over to Apple.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a really confusing situation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>On the one hand you have\nApple saying: We\u2019ve got all these great publications on our platform for just\n$10 a month. It\u2019s fantastic value!<\/li><li>But on the other hand you\nhave the publishers saying: Apple <em>actually<\/em> only delivers a subset of our\nfull offering. For the complete experience you should really subscribe directly\nwith us!<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>What on earth is a reader meant to make of those completely conflicting messages? Especially once Apple really cranks up its marketing for this new product, potentially reaching a much wider audience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/michaelluo\/status\/1110555730850074629\">In a Twitter thread<\/a>,  <em>The New Yorker\u2019s<\/em> Michael Luo spelt out all the things that direct subscribers get that Apple News+ subscribers won\u2019t. These include additional articles that don\u2019t appear in the print magazine, as well as newsletters, crosswords and more immersive experiences. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Josh Constine of Techcrunch, which itself is participating in Apple News+ by including their subscribers only offering, <a href=\"https:\/\/techcrunch.com\/2019\/03\/26\/no-need-to-subscribe\">wrote a detailed piece<\/a> explaining the serious implications for publishers. This too in spite of the fact that his title\u2019s offerings are included.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For smaller publishers, there\u2019s an argument for going with\nApple. It might simply be, \u201cWhat have we got to lose?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But they definitely are losing any kind of direct connection\nwith their readers, including valuable data that those relationships bring with\nthem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Whole World isn\u2019t Using iOS<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Initially, Apple News+ is only available in the US and\nCanada, although Apple says that it\u2019s coming later this year to both Australia\nand the UK. I assume that right now they\u2019re attempting to get local partners on\nboard for those launches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If I was a publisher in the UK right now, I\u2019d be thinking\nvery carefully before I made the jump. Ideally, I\u2019d want to examine what\nhappens in the US, although the full picture there won\u2019t emerge for several\nmonths. Would the FT go in? I strongly doubt it \u2013 they\u2019ve just announced 1m\npaid-for subscriptions. Ditto <em>The Times<\/em> who have worked hard on their\nsubscription business. <em>The Guardian <\/em>has a different model again, relying\non reader subscriptions if not raising a paywall. As the paper is on the verge\nof profitability, doing anything to endanger their current model seems\nunlikely. That really leaves <em>The Daily<\/em> <em>Telegraph<\/em>, a paper I can absolutely\nsee going in. Their subscription model isn\u2019t as developed as its peers and they\u2019re\nlosing print readers hand over fist. This could be a last gasp for them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Globally, it\u2019s also always worth keeping in mind that most\nof the world is not dominated by iOS. For all the talk of a billion iOS devices,\n85% of all smart phones in use are Android. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indeed, one side effect of the Texture takeover is that the\nold service is now being shuttered, and existing subscribers who only use\nAndroid devices are being left out in the cold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Apple could easily create an Android application \u2013 they did\nso for Apple Music, and they\u2019re working with other platforms for Apple TV+ \u2013\nbut they\u2019ve made no mention of that so far with Apple News+.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In territories beyond the US, iOS penetration is lower than it\nis there. It\u2019s still high in both the Australia and the UK, but as you move\nbeyond those places, penetration falls away. \u2018Apple-only\u2019 can\u2019t be a long term\nstrategy if they want to grow this application beyond their core markets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">An Existential Threat<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Against the background to all of this is the wider\nexistential threat to the print publishing industry. Newspaper and magazine\nprint sales have fallen over time. While some titles have, and will continue to\nsuccessfully evolve their business into digital offerings \u2013 often subscription\nfunded \u2013 others will die on the vine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most obvious way to see this is to look at your local\nnewsagent \u2013 probably now a convenience store as much as it is, or was, a\nnewsagent.&nbsp; Once upon a time, a high\nproportion of these shops would have been given over to selling magazines \u2013\nfrom comics on the bottom shelf to adult titles on the top shelf, and\neverything else in between. Over the years, the shelf space in shops has shrunk\nand fewer titles are carried. Readers of both the top and bottom shelves have\ngone online. Good newsagents carrying a substantial range still exist, but\nbeyond newspapers and a few key titles, many magazines have effectively been \u201cdelisted\u201d\nin these shops.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even in places like train stations, where a travellers are looking\nfor ways to kill time on their journeys, the coming of smartphones, bringing\niPlayer, Netflix, podcasts and games, has seen the print media shelves\ndiminish. A mainline station branch of WH Smith has significantly fewer shelf metres\ndevoted to print compared to the past, and more to buying Bluetooth headphones\nor convenience foods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While publishers have improved their subscription numbers to\nget around this, without a high street presence, new readers will never\ndiscover their titles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Many publishers working with Apple will perhaps hope that\nApple News+ will deliver some conversion down the line. But that doesn\u2019t really\nfollow, since Apple News+ subscribers will feel that they\u2019re already getting\nthese titles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And of course, as outlined above, it\u2019s disastrous for existing subscribers to switch to the Apple product. When you think about the egregious share of revenue that Apple is taking, the revenue damage to existing subscriptions being cancelled in exchange for Apple\u2019s cheaper offering, and the lack of any kind of direct connection with titles\u2019 readers, it\u2019s hard to understand why anyone would want to be in business on Apple with this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n[Update] Shortly after hitting publish on this piece, I read <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/04\/02\/business\/media\/media-companies-take-a-big-gamble-on-apple.html\">this <em>New York Times<\/em> story<\/a> which says that 200,000 people signed up in the first 48 hours after launch &#8211; more than Texture ever had at its peak. That&#8217;s a great start, and it&#8217;s $12m dollars to share out (based on a 50% Apple take) for the first year. For magazine readers, Apple News+ is undoubtedly a great deal. The question is whether that new revenue (unfairly pro-rata&#8217;d to $40,000 a title based on 300 titles) make more money through Apple than they lose from current subscribers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The best comment in the piece comes right at the end, at a launch party in Manhattan and reported by <em>Vanity Fair<\/em>: &#8220;Are we at a party, or a wake?&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In March last year, Apple bought the digital magazine service, Texture. Texture\u2019s business model was relatively straightforward \u2013 users paid a flat monthly fee of $9.99 for access to around 200 magazines. Texture placed a layer of editorial on top of things, highlighting specific articles that you might not have otherwise discovered. Initially, the business [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8440,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[220,116,414],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8427"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8427"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8427\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8442,"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8427\/revisions\/8442"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8440"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8427"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8427"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.adambowie.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8427"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}